clips and nuggs

  • Thursday, September 3, 2020

Las Vegas - Football is back, kind of. Got an interesting game tonight between Southern Mississippi and South Alabama. The Golden Eagles are sitting at -13.5 on the consensus line, which is our look at over 25 sportsbooks here in Vegas as well as offshore. If you're in Vegas, or planning a visit, I got a sweet little two point middle for you. Circa sportsbook, more about the new kids on the betting block in a few days, is currently listing Southern Miss at -13. The Golden Nugget downtown is at -15.5. Why does this matter? Because it crosses one of the KEY betting numbers, 14. So, we buy the Golden Eagles at Circa, then stay downtown, walk over to the Nugget and grab a ticket on the Jaguars at +15.5. If the game falls 13, you push. If the game falls 14, you win BOTH SIDES! If the game falls 15, you win BOTH SIDES! If the game falls less than 13, you just lose the juice or vigorish. If the game falls 16 or more, again, you just lose the juice or vig. This is EXACTLY how the sharps or wise guys make their money. Enjoy.

Bouncing down to the NBA bubble, gonna throw some scores at you from the Clippers/Nuggets regular season to help with your handicapping work.

In their first meeting back in January, the Nuggets (+1) eased past the Clippers in Denver 114-104. The Over/Under total was posted at 221 and went Under. Jamal Murray scored 19 points. In February, the Clips (-7) roughed up the Nuggs in Los Angeles 132-103. The Over/Under total was 220.5 and went way Over. And Jamal Murray managed ONLY 11 points. Their last meeting, in the bubble, the Clips (-5.5) rolled past the Nuggs 124-111. The total was 230 and went Over. But it was the box score that spoke to me. L.A. had Kawhi (26) and Paul George (27) rocking and rolling, while Denver's superstars, Murray (10) and Nikola Jokic (17) were pretty much locked down.

Leaning to the Clippers but the -8 is kinda scary, so here's the plan. Come with me to Teaser City, for a two team 6-point teaser. Take the Clips down from -8 to -2, then pair it with the Celtics, and take Boston from +1 to +7. MAN, September is gonna be a BLAST!!!

For those that have read America's Line for the last 30+ years, you know that I never, ever get political. Just asking for one thing. VOTE!!! Don't care who you vote for, JUST VOTE!!!

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