Don't follow trends blindly...

Las Vegas - Okay, gotta get this out of the way. Totally understand that this is a Monday night game and that Pittsburgh's numbers are staggering. The Steelers have won 23 home games in a row on Monday and are on a 13-0 run with Mike Tomlin on the headset. Now for the other side of the story. And the story begins and ends with the BEST, most WICKED defense in the NFL. The Texans allowed a league low 277.2 yards per game this season, ranked second in points allowed at 17.4 per game and also ranked second with a PLUS 17 takeaway margin. And they have THE BEST edge tandem in the league with DE Will Anderson Jr. and DE Danielle Hunter. Hunter finished third in the league with 15 sacks and Anderson had 12 sacks. That's gonna be a YUGE problem for the 42 year old Aaron Rodgers who does not have the 2008-2020 wheels. Back in the day, Aaron would rush for 200-300 yards every season, but the last two years, he went for 101 with the Jets and just 61 this season with the Steelers. And Rodgers has not seen a defense like this with the exception the Browns, who held Pittsburgh to SIX points. The other arm, Houston's C.J. Stroud, missed three games with a concussion, but since coming back, he has pitched a 6-0 PERFECTO with eight TDs and three INTs. Texans to advance.

On the prop board, maybe a few pennies on Aaron Rodgers to go Over 32.5 passing attempts. Pittsburgh closed the season winning four of five and in those games Rodgers had 34, 27, 41, 39 and 47 passing attempts.