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Miami wins without superstar WR Malachi Toney, but NOT by two TDs!
Las Vegas - Miami-Florida is a really good team. Miami-Florida shoulda had a TD at the end of the Notre Dame game last week. But Miami-Florida is just NOT the same without the electric superstar WR Malachi Toney. In his last game before getting hurt, against North Carolina, Toney had seven catches for 75 yards and two TDs. His numbers for the season included 73 grabs for 1,027 yards and 13 TDs! You DON'T replace that. Miami QB Darian Mensah, who played for Duke last year, had a total of 212 completions after that game against Carolina, and 73 went to Toney. That's basically one third of his completions. WR Cooper Barkate is really talented but he AIN'T Malachi! Duke has been on fire on both sides of the ball. The Blue Devils crushed Boston College 47-2 and smoked NC State 41-3. Granted these are two of the lesser lights in the ACC, but still, 88-5 has opened some eyes. Duke QB Walker Eget ain't the flashiest arm in the country, but he is accurate (63%) and does not make many mistakes (3 INTs). On the ground, the Devils have an RB that can carry some serious mail. He has gobbled up 1,189 yards which is second in the nation. Unfortunately, the Hurricanes have the #1 run defense in the nation, so that might be a wash. The Dookies have lost twice this season, 24-20 to the Tar Heels and 28-25 to Georgia Tech, so they know how to hang. The game opened Miami -14 and has dropped to -13.5. If you like the underdog, and we do, and didn't get the +14 early in the week, we would suggest that you buy the hook. Actually just found a +14 at DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM.
ECKstats
Moving back to the college football board, we can tell you that Miami-Florida has an 8-1 straight up record with a 5-3-1 mark against the spread. They are 2-1 ATS at home and 4-3 as a favorite. Miami has gone Over seven times and Under once. Duke has a 7-2 straight up record with a 6-2 mark against the spread. They are 3-1 ATS on the road and 2-0 as an underdog. Duke has gone Over two times and Under six times.
