Week 4 Thursday Night Football Odds Preview

Week 4 in the NFL kicks off Thursday night with an NFC North showdown between old rivals the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers.

At Bovada Sportsbook the Packers are a 7.5-point favorite. Last week Green Bay edged the Cincinnati Bengals 27-24 as a 7-point favorite, dropping the Pack to 1-2 against the spread on the season. Aaron Rodgers completed 28 of 42 passes for 313 yards with three touchdowns and an interception in the win. Geronimo Allison came out of nowhere to catch six passes for 122 yards, while Jordy Nelson had six receptions for 52 yards and two touchdowns.

Chicago delivered a big upset over the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, snapping a six-game straight-up losing streak with a 23-17 win as 6.5-point underdogs. Mike Glennon completed 15 of 22 passes for 101 yards with a touchdown and an interception. The Bears rushing attack took care of the rest as Jordan Howard rushed for 138 yards and two touchdowns on 23 carries and Tarik Cohen added 78 yards on 12 carries.

Even with last week’s win, the Bears still own a pretty pathetic 3-12 record SU and an 8-7 ATS mark in their last 15 games. On the road, Chicago has lost nine in a row SU and is 2-7 ATS. The Bears haven’t posted back-to-back SU wins since 2015 and in the month of September they’re 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS in their last 10.

The Packers are only 1-3 ATS in their last four, but have had much more success at home. In their last six games at Lambeau Field, the Packers are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS. Strangely, though, the Packers are only 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games at home against teams with losing records.

The matchup trends here heavily favor Green Bay. In their last seven versus Chicago, the Packers are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS. They’re also 12-2 SU in their last 14 and 10-3 ATS in their last 13. At home, the Packers are 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last nine versus the Bears.

For totals bettors, the total has gone OVER in five of the last seven games between the Bears and Packers. Green Bay is also 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games overall. The Bears have gone UNDER the total in all three of their games this season, and in their last 10 on the road the OVER/UNDER is 5-5.