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Las Vegas - Starting the party with the Packers -6.5 points over the Rams. Gonna start each selection with some vital spread stats, just in case you have not had the time. Looking at the Packers, they were 13-3 straight up and 10-6 against the spread. They were 5-3 ATS at home and 8-5 as a favorite. They went Over 9 times and Under 7 (4-4 to the Over at home).

The Rams are 11-6 straight up and 10-7 against the spread. They are 5-4 ATS on the road and 4-2 as an underdog. They went Under 12 times and Over 5 (5-4 to the Over away).

Cal vs. Cal. Aaron Rodgers (2003-04) vs. Jared Goff (2013-15). It's also Chico, CA. vs. Novato, CA. And then, it's best friends, Sean McVay vs. Matt LaFleur, who both coached under Mike Shanahan at Washington for a few years. That's where the similarities end. Why? Because Rodgers will be a NO DOUBT FIRST BALLOT HALL OF FAMER, while Goff is five years into a career that is still pretty much of a mystery. At the age of 37, Mr. Discount Double Check had the BEST year EVER! He completed a staggering 70.7% of his passes (#1 in the NFL), gobbled up 4,299 yards, threw 48 TDs (#1) with only 5 INTs (tied for the lowest in the league). With a question mark after Aaron Donald's name, due to some cranky ribs, and Goff coming off a 9 for 19 performance last week against Seattle, we're buying CHEESE!!!

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Closing up shop tonight in Buffalo and using the Bills -2.5 points over the Ravens. Checking in on the Bills, they are 14-3 straight up and 11-6 against the spread. They are 6-3 ATS at home and 8-4 as a favorite. They went Over 12 times and Under 4 with one push (6-3 to the Over at home).

The Ravens are 12-5 straight up and 11-5-1 against the spread. They are 6-2-1 ATS on the road and 2-0 as an underdog. They went Over 7 times and Under 10 (4-5 to the Under away).

OH BOY. My fingers are twitching because after three weeks of BEST BETTING Baltimore, I'm switching sides. Also PRAYING for snow. Why? Buffalo QB Josh Allen spent his college years in Laramie, Wyoming, so snow (64 inches per year), cold weather and wind was just another Saturday. Baltimore's electric Lamar Jackson was born and raised in Pompano Beach, Florida, where the average snowfall is, lets see, ZERO! NADA! NONE! When asked about playing in the snow, Jackson said, “Saturday would be my first time playing football in the snow, if it does. Hopefully, it don’t.” Not just basing this pick on weather, but also the fact that last season, the Bills limited Lamar to only 40 yards on 11 carries. Not throwing all my chips in, but will circle the wagons, just making it a smaller circle.

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