Pats 17 Point Favorites in MNF
The Kansas City Chiefs visit the New England Patriots facing a huge point spread in Monday Night Football betting but enjoying a trend that could see them cover.
Oddsmakers opened the Patriots as 14.5-point favorites versus the Chiefs, but the game is now sitting at -17 at Bodog Sportsbook. Meanwhile the game's total is sitting at 46½ after getting bet down from 48 last week.
The Patriots have been solid OVER bets when playing at home in Monday Nighters. Since 1998, the OVER is 7-0-1 in eight games. However the Chiefs have been trending UNDER lately (6-1 past 7 overall).
However, it’s the strange 2-11 ATS run in 13 Patriot home games in the month of November that is most puzzling. They dominate at home in September, October and December, only to falter for bettors in November.
The Chiefs were a 17-10 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Broncos. They failed to cover the 3.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (27) made winners of UNDER bettors.
New England won its last outing, a 37-16 result against the Jets on November 13. The Patriots covered in that game as a 1-point underdog, while the 53 combined points took the game OVER the total.
Current streak:
Kansas City has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Kansas City: 4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS
New England: 6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS
Kansas City most recently:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 6-4
New England most recently:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
New England is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 10 games at home
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Next up:
Kansas City home to Pittsburgh, Sunday, November 27
New England at Philadelphia, Sunday, November 27