Trends Point to LSU in BCS Final

LSU has been favored 20 times in the past 2 seasons and won every time.

LSU is 7-2 SU the past 9 meetings with their SEC West rivals from Alabama.

Still, more than 60% of BCS title game bettors are backing the Crimson Tide, according to the Odds Shark college football consensus numbers.

The SEC is guaranteed to win its sixth straight national title and the BCS Championship Game is a rare rematch of a regular season battle.

LSU and Alabama scrapped earlier this year with the Tigers winning 9-6 at Alabama as an underdog. Today, LSU is a slight favorite or a slight dog, depending on where you are betting.

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“Handicapping the game based on head-to-head history points to LSU but the tricky part is that the point spread is so tight,” explained Mike Pickett of OddsShark.com.

“If LSU is favored, they are lights out as chalk. If Alabama is favored, they have trouble in that role against LSU.”

BCS Matchup Data from Americas Line: Lines from 5Dimes and Bovada

How They Match Up:

Offensively, the game matches up LSU's No. 12-ranked offense (38.5 PPG) against a Crimson Tide defense that ranks No. 1 at 8.8 PPG. The Tigers passing attack has averaged 160.2 yards per game, more than the Crimson Tide give up through the air (116.3 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Crimson Tide feature the league's No. 1-rated road run defense, allowing 48 yards per game. LSU, meanwhile, ranks No. 23 in rushing offense at home.

Alabama was a 42-14 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Auburn. They covered the 21.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (56) made winners of OVER bettors.

LSU was a 42-10 winner in its last match at home against Georgia. They covered the 12–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 52 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Alabama Crimson Tide Trends:

When playing in January are 4-2
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When an underdog on the road are 1-9

LSU Tigers Trends:

When playing in January are 5-3
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 8-2
When favored are 20-0 SU

A few Crimson Tide at Tigers trends to consider:

Alabama is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games when playing LSU
Alabama is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LSU
Alabama is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing LSU
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LSU is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU's last 6 games when playing Alabama

BCS Prop Betting Odds - courtesy of Bovada

First Pass Attempt - A.J. McCarron (Alabama)
Pass Complete -180
Pass Incomplete +140
Interception +800

What will he throw first - A.J. McCarron (Alabama)
Touchdown Pass -140
Interception EVEN

Total Passing Yards - A.J. McCarron (Alabama)
Over 194½
(-120)o
(-120)u

Total Completions - A.J. McCarron (Alabama)
Over 15½
(-120)o
(-120)u

Total TD Passes - A.J. McCarron (Alabama)
Over 1½
(+145)o
(-190)u

Total TD Passes 1st Half - A.J. McCarron (Alabama)
Over ½
(+130)o
(-170)u

Total TD Passes 2nd Half - A.J. McCarron (Alabama)
Over ½
(+170)o
(-250)u

Total Interceptions - A.J. McCarron (Alabama)
Over ½
(-180)o
(+140)u

Longest Completion - A.J. McCarron (Alabama)
Over 37½
(-110)o
(-130)u

Total Rushing Yards - Trent Richardson (Alabama)
Over 100½
(-110)o
(-130)u

Total Receiving Yards - Trent Richardson (Alabama)
Over 34½
(-120)o
(-120)u

Total Receptions - Trent Richardson (Alabama)
Over 2½
(EVEN)o
(-140)u

Will Trent Richardson (Alabama) score a TD in the 1st Half?
Yes +140
No -180

Will Trent Richardson (Alabama) score a TD in the 2nd Half?
Yes +140
No -180

Total Touchdowns - Trent Richardson (Alabama)
Over 1
(+140)o
(-180)u

Total Receiving Yards - Marquis Maze (Alabama)
Over 49½
(-110)o
(-130)u

First Pass Attempt - Jordan Jefferson (LSU)
Pass Complete -140
Pass Incomplete EVEN
Interception +800

What will he throw first - Jordan Jefferson (LSU)
Touchdown Pass EVEN
Interception -140

Total Passing Yards - Jordan Jefferson (LSU)
Over 144½
(-120)o
(-120)u

Total Completions - Jordan Jefferson (LSU)
Over 12½
(-120)o
(-120)u