Divisional Playoff Odds & Picks
Road teams have dominated the divisional playoff round in the past four season, but it’s hard to imagine more than one road team winning this weekend.
Still, that’s why they call it gambling son – they play the games on the field, not on paper and not according to past stats.
New Orleans remains favored at San Francisco and they have dominated the 49ers in recent years, going 10-3 ATS. But there are plenty of favourable trends on both sides and interesting props like the over under on Drew Brees passing yards.
In New England, the Patriots are the biggest chalk on the board, favored by 2 TDs against Tim Tebow’s Broncos. The Pats almost always win at home, but they are just 1-4 ATS in their past 5 home playoff games. There are dozens of Brady and Tebow props at Bovada.
The Ravens also dominate at home (18-1 SU past 19) and face a Houston team that may be happy just to have made the playoffs and won a game. Baltimore is 9-1 ATS past 10 regular seasons after a bye and hey are coming off an extra 7 days of rest.
Houston has covered four straight as a dog (they are +8).
And the Packers look to win again and defend their title, hosting the Giants. Bettors are nervous of New York and with good reason. They are 4-0 ATS the past four times they were a dog of 8 or more points.
Check out the latest lines at Bovada and see more matchup details and props on every game below.
Saints vs 49ers Props
Passing Yards – Drew Brees (NO)
Over/Under 335½
Total TD Passes – Drew Brees (NO)
Over 2½ (-175)
Under 2½ (+145)
Combined Yards in the game – Darren Sproles (NO)
Over/Under 175½
Receiving Yards – Marques Colston (NO)
Over/Under 82½
Will Jimmy Graham (NO) score a TD in the game?
Yes -150
No +120
Passing Yards - Alex Smith (SF)
Over/Under 225½
Rushing Yards – Frank Gore (SF)
Over/Under 80½
Receiving Yards – Michael Crabtree (SF)
Over/Under 62½
Receiving Yards – Vernon Davis (SF)
Over/Under 52½
Will the 49ers allow a Rushing TD in the game?
Yes -175
No +145
Who will have more turnovers in the game?
New Orleans Saints EVEN
San Francisco 49ers -130
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Francisco's No. 11-ranked offense (23.8 PPG) against a Saints defense that ranks No. 13 at 21.2 PPG. The 49ers passing attack has averaged 183.1 yards per game, less than the Saints give up through the air (259.8 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Saints feature the league's No. 19-rated road run defense, allowing 121.4 yards per game. San Francisco, meanwhile, ranks No. 13 in rushing offense at home.
New Orleans was a 45-28 winner in its last match at home against the Lions. They covered the 10.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 73 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, the Saints got 3 passing scores out of Drew Brees en route to a 45-28 win over the Lions on Saturday at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
San Francisco was a 34-27 winner in its last match on the road against the Rams. They failed to cover the 12.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 61 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Vernon Davis hauled in 8 passes for 118 yards against the St. Louis defense in the team's last game, leading San Francisco over the Rams 34-27 on Sunday.
New Orleans Saints Trends:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 9-1
San Francisco 49ers Trends:
When playing in January are 6-4
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few Saints at 49ers trends to consider:
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
Patriots Broncos Props: courtesy of BOVADA:
Passing Yards – Tim Tebow (DEN)
Over/Under 190½
TD Passes – Tim Tebow (DEN)
Over 1½ (+195)
Under 1½ (-250)
Interceptions – Tim Tebow (DEN)
Over ½ (-165)
Under ½ (+135)
Rushing Yards – Tim Tebow (DEN)
Over/Under 45½
Rushing Attempts – Tim Tebow (DEN)
Over/Under 9½
Completions - Tim Tebow (DEN)
Over/Under 11½
Will Tim Tebow (DEN) score a rushing TD in the game?
Yes +135
No -165
Receiving Yards – Demaryius Thomas (DEN)
Over/Under 72½
Passing Yards - Tom Brady (NE)
Over/Under 325½
Total TD Passes – Tom Brady (NE)
Over 2½ (-150)
Under 2½ (+120)
Receiving Yards – Wes Welker (NE)
Over/Under 90½
Receiving Yards – Rob Gronkowski (NE)
Over/Under 82½
Will Rob Gronkowski (NE) score a TD in the game?
Yes -165
No +135
Receiving Yards – Aaron Hernandez (NE)
Over/Under 60½
Will Josh McDaniels and Tim Tebow hug at the end of the game?
Yes EVEN
No -140
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New England's No. 3-ranked offense (32.1 PPG) against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 24 at 24.4 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 317.8 yards per game, more than the Broncos give up through the air (231.5 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Broncos own the league's No. 18-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 118.9 yards per game when on the road. New England, on the other hand, rates No. 18 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
In their last action, Denver was a 29-23 winner at home against the Steelers. They covered the 7.5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (52) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Tim Tebow led his team to victory last time out, throwing for 316 yards Sunday as the Broncos downed the Steelers 29-23 at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.
The Patriots were a 49-21 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Bills. They covered the 10–point spread as favorites, while the total score (70) made winners of OVER bettors. Tom Brady dusted the Bills secondary for 3 TDs last time out as the Patriots defeated Buffalo 49-21 at Gillette Stadium.
Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in January are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in January are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few Broncos at Patriots trends to consider:
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing New England
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England's last 14 games at home
Ravens Texans Props courtesy of BOVADA:
Total Passing Yards – T.J. Yates (HOU)
Over/Under 200½
(HOU vs BAL) - What will T.J. Yates have more of?
TD Passes +200
Interceptions +200
Tie +135
Total Rushing Yards – Arian Foster (HOU)
Over/Under 75½
Will Arian Foster (HOU) score a TD in the game?
Yes -115
No -115
Total Receiving Yards – Andre Johnson (HOU)
Over/Under 70½
Total Passing Yards – Joe Flacco (BAL)
Over/Under 235½
Will Ray Rice (BAL) score a TD in the game?
Yes -200
No +160
Total Receiving Yards – Anquan Boldin (BAL)
Over/Under 62½
Total Tackles & Assists – Terrell Suggs (BAL)
Over/Under 4½
Who will record more Rushing Yards in the game?
Arian Foster (HOU) RB +20½ (-115)
Ray Rice (BAL) RB -20½ (-115)
Who will record more Receiving Yards in the game?
Arian Foster (HOU) RB +4½ (-115)
Ray Rice (BAL) RB -4½ (-115)
Total Rushing Yards Houston in the game
Over/Under 100½
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Baltimore's No. 12-ranked offense (23.6 PPG) against a Texans defense that ranks No. 4 at 17.4 PPG. The Ravens passing attack has averaged 213.9 yards per game, more than the Texans give up through the air (189.7 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Texans feature the league's No. 6-rated road run defense, allowing 101.2 yards per game. Baltimore, meanwhile, ranks No. 14 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Houston was a 31-10 winner at home against the Bengals. They covered the 4–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (41) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Arian Foster tore up the turf for 153 rushing yards in the latest Texans game, a 31-10 win over the Bengals at Reliant Stadium.
The Ravens were a 24-16 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Bengals. They covered the 2.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (40) made winners of OVER bettors. Ray Rice went over the 100-yard mark (191) in his team's latest effort as Baltimore defeated Cincinnati by a score of 24-16 on Sunday.
Houston Texans Trends:
When playing in January are 3-3
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4
Baltimore Ravens Trends:
When playing in January are 7-3
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few Texans at Ravens trends to consider:
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Packers vs Giants Props courtesy of BOVADA::
Total Passing Yards – Eli Manning (NYG)
Over/Under 290½
otal Receiving Yards – Hakeem Nicks (NYG)
Over/Under 80½
Total Receiving Yards – Victor Cruz (NYG)
Over/Under 80½
Total Tackles & Assists – Jason Pierre-Paul (NYG)
Over/Under 5½
Total Passing Yards – Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Over/Under 310½
Total Receiving Yards – Greg Jennings (GB)
Over/Under 75½
Will Greg Jennings (GB) score a TD in the game?
Yes -115
No -115
Total Receiving Yards – Jordy Nelson (GB)
Over/Under 70½
Will Jordy Nelson (GB) score a TD in the game?
Yes EVEN
No -130
Total Receiving Yards – Jermichael Finley (GB)
Over/Under 50½
(NYG vs GB) - Who will record more Rushing Yards in the game?
New YorkGiants -5½ (-115)
Green BayPackers +5½ (-115)
How many times will Aaron Rodgers be sacked in the game?
Over/Under 2½
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Green Bay's No. 1-ranked offense (35 PPG) against a Giants defense that ranks No. 25 at 25 PPG. The Packers passing attack has averaged 307.8 yards per game, more than the Giants give up through the air (255.1 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Giants feature the league's No. 21-rated road run defense, allowing 129.9 yards per game. Green Bay, meanwhile, ranks No. 27 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for New York, they were a 24-2 winner as they battled the Falcons at home. The Giants covered in the match as a 2.5-point favorite, while 26 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. New York comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Eli Manning in defeating the Falcons 24-2.
In their last action, Green Bay was a 45-41 winner at home against the Lions. They covered the 6.5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (86) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Last time out, Matt Flynn threw for 6 scores and 480 yards in leading his team past Detroit at Lambeau Field.
New York Giants Trends:
When playing in January are 6-4
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4
Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in January are 8-2
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 10-0
When playing outside the division are 9-1
A few Giants at Packers trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Giants last 7 games when playing Green Bay
NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games
NY Giants are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 21-1 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing NY Giants