nfl 776
Las Vegas - Kicking off your Saturday in Music City and looking at Nashville against Cincinnati. First, scroll back to 2020 with me when these teams met in Cincy. Joe Burrow was pretty, pretty good, hitting on 26 of 37 (70%) for 249 yards, with 2 TDs and no INTs. Ryan Tannehill was just 18 of 30 for 233 yards with 2 TDs and 1 INT. Of course, Derrick Henry got his 112 yards rushing, but the real question here is, if he's healthy, HOW healthy is he? He has not played since the end of October and NO ONE knows how his broken foot will react. And with Henry, D'Onta Foreman, or anyone else, we can tell you that the Bengals were exceptional against the run this season (5th in the NFL) allowing just 102.5 yards per game.
YES, we have seen Cincy's big fat OH & SEVEN record on the road in the playoffs, but guess what, Burrow did NOT play in ANY of those games. And neither did budding superstar WR Ja'Marr Chase. In the games that both of these LSU alums played on the road this season, the Bengals have covered six of the last seven for a gorgeous 86%.
Here are your must have spread stats for each team. The Titans overall spread record was 10-7, 4-5 as a favorite, 6-3 at home, with eight Overs and nine Unders. Cincy's overall spread record is sitting at 11-7, 6-3 as an underdog, 6-2 on the road, with eight Overs and 10 Unders.
Unfortunately, Cincinnati will be without one of its key defensive players, DT Larry Ogunjobi, and that might be an issue. But we're hearing that their Pro Bowl DE Trey Hendrickson has been cleared from the concussion protocol and should be ready to rumble. That's a BIG DEAL because Trey finished 5th in the league in sacks with 14. So, we're gonna hunker down with Burrow and see if we can (Ja'Marr) Chase some money into the bank account.
----------------------------------------------------
In the late game, basically impossible to pick a side here without knowing the scope of Jimmy Garoppolo's shoulder strain. Add that to the torn ligaments in his right thumb and there might be some problems. Just as big of a problem is superstar DE Nick Bosa, who sustained a concussion last week against the Cowboys, as well as LB Fred Warner who sprained his right ankle. In the third week of the regular season, these guys played in Santa Clara, and Green Bay squeezed out a 30-28 win. Aaron Rodgers was on target as usual, completing 23 of 33 for 261 yards, 2 TDs and no INTs. And Davante Adams went OFF, grabbing 12 balls for 132 yards. Jimmy G didn't have a sprained shoulder or torn ligaments in his right thumb in that game, and was only 25 of 40 for 257 yards, with 2 TDs and 1 INT.
Green Bay has been EXCEPTIONAL at home this season, actually PERFECT, with an 8-0 straight up record and 7-1 against the spread.
Here are the rest of your must have spread stats for each team. The Packers overall spread record was 12-5, 8-5 as a favorite, 7-1 at home, with eight Overs and nine Unders. San Francisco's overall spread record is now 10-8, 3-1 as an underdog, 6-4 on the road, with eight Overs and 10 Unders.
Not thrilled about laying 6-points against a San Francisco team that knows how to run the ball, but gonna turn into a Cheesehead for 60 minutes and take a little taste of the Packers and Mr. Rodgers.
----------------------------------------------------
Archive