wild1

Las Vegas - Circling the wagons with the Bills -6 points over the Colts. Gotta start each selection with some vital spread stats, just in case you have not had the time. Looking at the Bills, they were 13-3 straight up and 11-5 against the spread. They were 6-2 ATS at home and 7-4 as a favorite. They went Over 11 times and Under 4 with one push (5-3 to the Over at home).
The Colts were 11-5 straight up and 8-8 against the spread. They were 5-3 ATS on the road and 0-1 as an underdog. They went Over 9 times and Under 7 (6-2 to the Over away).
Is there a hotter team in the NFL? UH UH. Buffalo has been MONEY in the bank, rolling in with a gorgeous 8-0 spread PERFECTO. The Bills have won six in row straight up, and WON by an average of almost 20 points per game. Nothing against OLD MAN Rivers, but Philip ain't in the same zip code as the Buffs QB Josh Allen.
Looked at Indy's schedule, and yea, they closed with four wins in the last five games, but beating Houston (4-12) twice, Las Vegas (8-8) and Jacksonville (1-15) does NOT really sing upset. We have been circling the wagons with the Bills the last month and a half, and gonna keep riding the big arm of Allen.

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Heading out West and using Seattle -3 points over the Rams.
Checking in on the Seahawks, they were 12-4 straight up and 8-8 against the spread. They were 6-2 ATS at home and 7-7 as a favorite. They went Over 7 times and Under 9 (3-5 to the Under at home).
The Rams were 10-6 straight up and 9-7 against the spread. They were 4-4 ATS on the road and 3-2 as an underdog. They went Under 12 times and Over 4 (4-4 to the Under away).
Sadly, Seattle's crazed fans, the famous 12th Man, will not be a factor, but Russell Wilson WILL. And so WILL the Seahawks defense. Everyone is starry-eyed when it comes to the Rams D, and rightly so. They led the NFL in both total defense and points allowed this season, but check out Seattle. Since Buffalo dropped 44 on 'em back in early November, they have allowed just 15 points per game. These NFC West rivals spilt this season, with the Rams posting a 23-16 win at home and the 'Hawks coming back with a 20-9 W in Seattle. This is all about Ciara's husband, 'cause he's just better than Jared Goff.

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Closing up shop with Washington +9.5 points against the Bucs. Looking at Washington, they were 7-9 straight up and 8-7-1 against the spread. They were 4-4 ATS at home and 7-5-1 as an underdog. They went Over 5 times and Under 10 with one push (2-5-1 to the Under at home).
The Bucs were 11-5 straight up and 9-7 against the spread. They were 4-4 ATS on the road and 7-6 as a favorite. They went Over 9 times and Under 7 (5-3 to the Over away).
Not gonna be my biggest wager, or, a wager at all, because I'm nervous about two things. First is the health of Alex Smith. He has a calf issue which has limited his mobility, and he just looks kinda fragile. And if Taylor Heinicke has to come in at some point, UH OH. The other issue is TB12. Obviously the G.O.A.T. of QBs. His playoff experience is RIDONKULOUS! He has the most wins (30), completions (1,025), passing yards (11,388), TD passes (73), and don't see him going home just yet. The Bucs come in on fire, winning four in a row, but the teams they beat (Minny, Atlanta twice and Detroit) are all bottom feeders. Thinking Tampa, but not gonna push any chips in because 9.5 is too much.

Just got word that Washington QB Alex Smith has been downgraded from probable to questionable, so obviously, we will downgrade our wager from thinking about a tickle with Smith, to FUGGETABOUTIT with Heinicke.

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