baker

Las Vegas - Gonna start in Baltimore and grab the Browns +7 points over the Ravens. If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Not sure who coined that phrase, coulda been my grandfather, but in any case, we're back on Baltimore, or, actually against. Thinking that the +7 is too much. Why? First, lets look at the two games last season. In the first matchup, the Browns (+3) posted a 12-9 win in Cleveland. Joe Flacco played almost the entire game, while Lamar Jackson threw just one pass. In the second game, at Baltimore, the Ravens (-7.5) squeezed out a 26-24 W. Lamar did play in that game, and was 14 of 24 for 179, with 90 yards rushing, 0 TDs and 0 INTs. Not great, not terrible. The Brownies are hurting all over the field, especially in the secondary, but they did hang with a pretty solid Rams team last Sunday night. And since the Ravens have covered only six of the last 18 as a home favorite, yup, just on thing left to say. This is my BEST BET BAABBEEE!!!

Move to upstate New York, where we will rock the Bills +7 points over the Patriots. 3-0 vs. 3-0. Which way do we turn? Gotta turn to the home dog. So, you've probably seen all the trends and stats that say New England will beat the Bills like a drum. Lets examine the stats. The Patriots are allowing an NFL-low 5.7 points per game. They also lead the league in total defense (199 yards per game), allowing the fewest passing yards (162.3) and rushing yards (36.7) per game. Amazing. Props to Double B and his staff. Okay, now we look at who they played. The Dolphins, Jets and Steelers, who are a combined 0-9. Then you can take a look at the Buffs defense, which is top five, and has not allowed a team to go over 400 yards on offense in the last 15 games. That included two games against the Pats last season. If you see New England's ALL-WORLD LB Dont'a Hightower in street clothes, the Buffs top 5 rushing attack could go off, and we would suggest opening the wallet VERY wide! Maybe even BEST BET wide!

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